The transparent, task-based AI job-exposure index

How is your occupation exposed to AI — task by task?

Every occupation is scored from its individual tasks by a multi-model rater panel — three sub-scores, confidence intervals from rater disagreement, versioned methodology, public API. Built for adaptation planning, not headlines.

1,016

occupations (O*NET 30.3)

18,796

task statements

923

occupations scored

1.0.0-draft.1

methodology version

Substitution ranking

run 1.0.0-draft.1 · 2026-08-05 · full index — all 923 ranked →

Composite substitution pressure, 0–100. The whisker marks the confidence interval from rater disagreement — a wide band is a claim we hold loosely.

Most exposed

  1. 1Word Processors and Typists89
  2. 2Travel Agents83
  3. 3Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks81
  4. 4Telemarketers81
  5. 5Order Clerks78
  6. 6Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks77
  7. 7Billing and Posting Clerks76
  8. 8Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks76
  9. 9Brokerage Clerks75
  10. 10Data Entry Keyers74
  11. 11Correspondence Clerks73
  12. 12Statistical Assistants72
  13. 13Online Merchants71
  14. 14Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive70
  15. 15Proofreaders and Copy Markers70

Least exposed

  1. Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons3
  2. Surgical Assistants4
  3. Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates4
  4. Riggers5
  5. Firefighters5
  6. Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers6
  7. Explosives Workers, Ordnance Handling Experts, and Blasters6
  8. Embalmers6
  9. Pile Driver Operators6
  10. Roof Bolters, Mining7
  11. Prosthodontists7
  12. Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians7
  13. Signal and Track Switch Repairers7
  14. Paramedics7
  15. Nuclear Power Reactor Operators7

By occupation group

Mean substitution score across scored occupations in each SOC major group.

Office & Administrative Support51 occupations60
Sales & Related22 occupations49
Computer & Mathematical36 occupations45
Business & Financial Operations48 occupations42
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports & Media40 occupations34
Architecture & Engineering56 occupations32
Management56 occupations32
Life, Physical & Social Science60 occupations31
Food Preparation & Serving16 occupations29
Educational Instruction & Library62 occupations29
Production107 occupations29
Legal7 occupations26
Farming, Fishing & Forestry12 occupations26
Transportation & Material Moving52 occupations25
Healthcare Support19 occupations23
Personal Care & Service31 occupations23
Building & Grounds Cleaning & Maintenance8 occupations22
Community & Social Service14 occupations21
Healthcare Practitioners & Technical89 occupations20
Installation, Maintenance & Repair50 occupations19
Protective Service26 occupations17
Construction & Extraction61 occupations15

Three scores, never collapsed into one

Exposure

AI is technically capable of performing the task. High exposure alone does not mean job loss — it means the occupation's tasks are changing.

Substitution

AI actually replaces the human performing the task, once cost, adoption velocity and real-world barriers are accounted for. This is the headline score.

Augmentation

AI assists the human, increasing productivity. For most occupations today, measured usage is augmentation, not replacement.